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The Federal Forecasters Consortium (FFC), in alliance with The George Washington University (GWU), is pleased to announce our Brown Bag Seminar Series on Forecasting. This year there will also be sessions for the 2010-2011 University Seminar on Forecasting.

For more information on the Brown Bag Seminar Series, go to the Research Program on Forecasting's Website (at the George Washington University): http://research.columbian.gwu.edu/cer/research/forecasting *(External link - see disclaimer page)

Email Tara Sinclair (tsinc@gwu.edu) if you are interested in participating in the FFC Brown Bag Seminar Series at GWU, which is typically held on Thursdays from 12:30 to 2:00 pm each month.

To be added to the seminar mailing list contact:

David Waddington
U.S. Census Bureau
david.g.waddington@census.gov
301-763-2428

Time and Location:
12:30 pm - 2:00 pm
John W. Kendrick Seminar Room
Room 321
2115 G Street
Washington, DC 20052

2012

Thursday, April 26, 2012 | 12:30 - 2:00 pm
Real-Time Forecasts for the World Economy – a Practitioner’s Perspective
Robin Koepke and Emre Tiftik, Institute of International Finance

Thursday April 19, 2012 | 12:30 - 2:00 pm
Topic to be announced
Ron Alquist, Bank of Canada

Thursday, Friday March 15-16, 2012: 11th OxMetrics User Conference
More information in the coming months

2011

Thursday, December 8, 2011 | 12:30 - 2:00 pm
When are Direct Multi-Step and Iterative Forecasts Identical?
Tucker McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau

Thursday, December 1, 2011 | 12:30 - 2:00 pm
An Experiment in Epidemiological Forecasting:  A comparison of forecast accuracies among difference methods of forecasting Deer Mouse Population Density in Montana
Robert Yaffee, New York University, New York

November 17, 2011
Information Rigidity and Herding in Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
Prakash Loungani, International Monetary Fund

November 3, 2011
The Puzzle of Immigration and Population Projections
Karen Woodrow-Lafie, Maryland Population Research Center

October 27, 2011
Did Sea Levels Rise in the 20th Century?
Yaniv Reingewertz, Hebrew University and The George Washington University

October 6, 2011
On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms
Francis X. Diebold, University of Pennsylvania

September 8, 2011
 - Short Course on New Approaches in Economic Forecasting
 - Seminar Presentation: Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both, or neither?

May 5, 2011: Cross-country Evidence on the Quality of Fiscal Forecasts
João Tovar Jalles, University of Cambridge; Iskander Karibzhanov, University of Minnesota; and Prakash Loungani, International Monetary Fund

April 14, 2011

• Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt
  Andrew B. Martinez, The George Washington University
• Modelling and Forecasting Residential Energy Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region
  Jason Jorgenson, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development; and Fred Joutz The George Washington University

April 7, 2011: Estimation and Inference with Weak, Semi-strong, and Strong Identification
Xu Cheng, University of Pennsylvania

March 31, 2011: Forecasting the Intermittent Demand for Slow-Moving Items
Keith Ord, Georgetown University

March 17th – 18th, 2011: 19th Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics (SNDE)

• The symposium was held at the George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy in Washington, DC | The aim of the symposium was to present and discuss recent developments in theoretical and empirical analysis of nonlinearity in economics and finance
• Special sessions on Nonlinear Aspects of the Financial Crisis: Theoretical and Empirical Analyses

February 24, 2011: Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices–A Post-Crisis Reassessment
Joint with GWU Microeconomics Seminar; William D. Larson, The George Washington University

February 17, 2011: Are Macroeconomic Variables Useful for Forecasting the Distribution of U.S. Inflation?
Sebastiano Manzan, Baruch College, The City University of New York

January 27th, 2011: The Information Content of the ISM Purchasing Managers’ Survey
Daniel Bachman, IHS Global Insight